Buffalo Bills (6-9) vs. New England Patriots (12-3)
The Buffalo Bills snapped a 7-game losing steak last weekend when they demolished the Broncos 40-14 in Buffalo. The Patriots need a win in this game to secure homefield advantage throughout the playoffs in the AFC. The Patriots have won seven games in a row. The Bills beat the Patriots earlier this year 34-31 in Buffalo, so they might have some confidence coming into this game. Here is a look at the matchups in this game:
When the Bills have the ball: The Bills are likely to throw more than they pass this weekend. That doesn’t mean that C.J. Spiller won’t get his fair share of carries…because he will. The Patriots are giving up 117.5 yards rushing per game and 4.6 yards per carry, so Spiller should have a good game. The Patriots are going to have to get after Ryan Fitzpatrick, because he’s going to be looking to make big plays in the passing game down the field. WRs Steve Johnson and David Nelson are big targets for Fitzpatrick to throw to down the field. On the shorter stuff, he will be looking for TE Scott Chandler and RB C.J. Spiller. The Patriots are giving up 294.7 yards passing per game so far this year, so the Bills should be able to move the ball in the air this Sunday.
When the Patriots have the ball: The Bills are going to have to find a way to get after Tom Brady in this game or they are likely in for trouble. Brady will likely be coming after the Bills’ corners this weekend with a lot of passes to WRs Wes Welker and Deion Branch. Don’t think for a minute though that his TEs aren’t going to get a lot of work too as Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez have both been outstanding so far this year for the Patriots. The Bills are giving up 139.1 yards rushing per game and 4.8 yards per carry, so the Patriots will likely spread around some carries to BenJarvus-Green Ellis, Stevan Ridley and Danny Woodhead in this game.
PREDICTION: PATRIOTS 34, BILLS 27
