The Patriots are running away from the rest of the division and need to keep beating down the competition. The Bills are 2-4 and trying to rebound from 2 painful losses in a row.
When the Patriots have the ball, it will be no mystery what they will try to do. The Bills allow 117.2 yards rushing per game and 4.2 yards per carry, so look for the Patriots to come out running the football. RBs Laurence Maroney (332 yards rushing) and Corey Dillon (281 yards rushing) have been running behind one of the best offensvie lines in football and they should give the Bills all kinds of problems. The offensive line has also been blocking great for Tom Brady when he drops back to pass, as they have only allowed 5 sacks this season. The Patriots will probably spread the field when passing, as Brady doesn’t really have a favorite target this season. Brady will go with his best match-up when throwing the ball and will be sure to pick on Terrence McGee, who’s only 5′8″ and has been getting burned lately.
The Bills prefer to run the ball with Willis McGahee (505 yards rushing), but that will be tough against a Patriots defense that only allows 85.6 yards rushing per game and 3.6 yards per carry. The Patriots do allow alot of yards passing (222.4 yards per game), but will JP Losman (1,121 yards passing) be able to take advantage of that? Lee Evans has the speed to get deep (36 rec, 419 yards), but Losman will need protection to throw the ball down the field as the Bills have allowed 19 sacks this season.
The Patriots won the first meeting 19-17 in Foxboro, so this could be a closer game than anticipated….but I can’t pick JP Losman to beat Tom Brady in a football game. The Patriots will win a close game on a mental error by JP Losman….just like the last time they played.
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